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Plea Deal vs. Trial in Federal Court: Odds, Sentences, and the Trial Penalty by District

How often do federal defendants actually go to trial, how often do they win, and how much longer is the sentence after a trial than after a plea? This tool draws on the federal courts’ own case records to show the plea, dismissal, trial, and acquittal rates and the median prison sentences for every U.S. district court, broken down by charge. If you are weighing your own options, start with our overview of plea bargaining in federal felony cases and how the federal sentencing guidelines determine prison time, and how 5K1.1 substantial assistance motions can lower a federal sentence.

Plea Deal vs. Trial in Federal Court: Odds, Sentences, and the Trial Penalty by District

Plea Deal vs. Trial in Federal Court

What actually happened to federal defendants who pleaded guilty versus those who went to trial, by district and charge, from the federal courts’ own case data. These are baseline rates for past defendants, not a prediction or legal advice.

The numbers for your district and your charge, not a national average

Federal outcomes are not national. They turn on the district you are charged in and the exact charge, and both move the numbers a great deal. The median sentence after a federal drug trial conviction runs from about 5 years in some districts to 25 in others for the same charge, and the share of trials ending in acquittal ranges from roughly 3 percent to 34 percent across districts. This tool draws the plea rate, acquittal rate, and median sentences for your specific district and charge straight from the federal courts’ own case records.

What happened in past cases like this

Baseline results for past federal defendants in this district and charge type. These are historical rates for a group of people, not a prediction about any one case. The page opens on a drug case in the Eastern District of Texas as an example.

Median prison sentence

If you plead guilty
9 yr
median, Texas - Eastern
If convicted at trial
15y 10mo
median, Texas - Eastern
Defendants convicted at trial received a median sentence about 1.8x the median guilty-plea sentence.

The trial figure is this district’s own median for drug offense (title 21) cases, from 40 trial convictions; nationally it runs 15 yr. Modest sample, treat as approximate.

Life sentences: about 0.06% of guilty pleas versus 5.2% of trial convictions for this offense (national).

Out of 100 concluded cases

Of 100 people whose drug offense (title 21) case concluded in Texas - Eastern:

91 pleaded guilty8 dismissed or diverted1 went to trial

If the case goes to trial

8.7% acquitted on all counts91.3% convicted

Nationally, drug offense (title 21) trials end in acquittal about 11.7% of the time. Texas - Eastern acquits roughly 0.74x the national average across all trial types, adjusted for its case mix, which places this offense near 8.7% here. Based on 133 trials in the district.

Across all 100 concluded cases above, complete acquittal at trial reaches well under 1 of them (about 0.2%).

The trade-off, as a wager

Going to trial trades a near-certain plea sentence for a gamble: about a 8.7% chance of walking away with no conviction, against a sentence roughly 1.8x larger if convicted.

Raw trial penalty 1.8x. Weighted by the 8.7% acquittal chance, the expected trial outcome works out to about 1.61x the plea.

Treated purely as a statistical average, the expected outcome of going to trial is about 14y 6mo (counting acquittals as zero), compared with 9 yr for a guilty plea. This average is a blunt instrument: it weighs a small chance of a very long sentence the same as a certainty of a short one, and almost no defendant is neutral about that risk. The downside at trial is severe and concentrated.

Acquittal rate at trial, by federal district

Share of federal defendants who went to trial and were acquitted on all counts, by district, across all charge types and mix-adjusted. Tap a district to load it in the calculator above. Five districts with too few trials to estimate are shown in grey; the four territory districts are not drawn but appear in the table and dropdown.

Arizona: 15.8% acquitted at trialLouisiana - Eastern: 24.3% acquitted at trialIdaho: 24.2% acquitted at trialMinnesota: 13.6% acquitted at trialNorth Dakota: 18.2% acquitted at trialSouth Dakota: 25.1% acquitted at trialNew York - Northern: 17.8% acquitted at trialAlaska: 10.3% acquitted at trialGeorgia - Northern: 18.5% acquitted at trialGeorgia - Middle: 7.3% acquitted at trialIndiana - Southern: 7.4% acquitted at trialMichigan - Eastern: 19.7% acquitted at trialMississippi - Northern: 26.7% acquitted at trialOhio - Northern: 11.0% acquitted at trialTexas - Southern: 24.9% acquitted at trialNebraska: 23.9% acquitted at trialColorado: 21.4% acquitted at trialMaryland: 15.3% acquitted at trialKansas: 19.5% acquitted at trialIllinois - Central: 3.4% acquitted at trialTexas - Northern: 11.7% acquitted at trialWisconsin - Eastern: 21.2% acquitted at trialCalifornia - Northern: 10.6% acquitted at trialIowa - Northern: 8.0% acquitted at trialPennsylvania - Middle: 9.3% acquitted at trialIowa - Southern: 10.2% acquitted at trialMontana: 12.5% acquitted at trialMissouri - Western: 21.2% acquitted at trialFlorida - Northern: 18.4% acquitted at trialKentucky - Western: 14.3% acquitted at trialMaine: 23.4% acquitted at trialMississippi - Southern: 30.4% acquitted at trialUtah: 14.1% acquitted at trialNew York - Western: 13.2% acquitted at trialMichigan - Western: 20.9% acquitted at trialOklahoma - Western: 16.2% acquitted at trialTennessee - Eastern: 7.8% acquitted at trialWisconsin - Western: too few trials to estimateIndiana - Northern: 10.0% acquitted at trialOregon: 33.9% acquitted at trialTexas - Western: 14.5% acquitted at trialWest Virginia - Northern: 28.1% acquitted at trialCalifornia - Eastern: 3.7% acquitted at trialIllinois - Southern: 18.3% acquitted at trialArkansas - Eastern: 18.7% acquitted at trialFlorida - Middle: 14.0% acquitted at trialWashington - Western: 11.0% acquitted at trialKentucky - Eastern: 12.1% acquitted at trialNorth Carolina - Middle: 31.5% acquitted at trialVirginia - Western: 14.0% acquitted at trialWyoming: 20.8% acquitted at trialOhio - Southern: 16.2% acquitted at trialLouisiana - Western: 19.5% acquitted at trialAlabama - Middle: 13.0% acquitted at trialIllinois - Northern: 7.7% acquitted at trialPennsylvania - Western: 21.3% acquitted at trialSouth Carolina: 15.2% acquitted at trialNorth Carolina - Eastern: 21.3% acquitted at trialTennessee - Middle: 16.7% acquitted at trialTexas - Eastern: 9.8% acquitted at trialWashington - Eastern: 15.2% acquitted at trialTennessee - Western: 18.0% acquitted at trialVirginia - Eastern: 8.2% acquitted at trialMissouri - Eastern: 13.6% acquitted at trialNew Mexico: 17.6% acquitted at trialNew Hampshire: 12.8% acquitted at trialFlorida - Southern: 17.5% acquitted at trialNorth Carolina - Western: 4.9% acquitted at trialCalifornia - Central: 23.0% acquitted at trialGeorgia - Southern: 11.6% acquitted at trialOklahoma - Eastern: 19.4% acquitted at trialAlabama - Northern: 21.2% acquitted at trialWest Virginia - Southern: 9.0% acquitted at trialVermont: too few trials to estimateNevada: 15.6% acquitted at trialAlabama - Southern: 17.5% acquitted at trialOklahoma - Northern: 19.3% acquitted at trialArkansas - Western: too few trials to estimatePennsylvania - Eastern: 13.6% acquitted at trialHawaii: 15.4% acquitted at trialMassachusetts: 13.2% acquitted at trialNew York - Eastern: 24.3% acquitted at trialLouisiana - Middle: too few trials to estimateRhode Island: too few trials to estimateNew Jersey: 15.1% acquitted at trialNew York - Southern: 6.2% acquitted at trialDelaware: 13.3% acquitted at trialConnecticut: 18.3% acquitted at trialCalifornia - Southern: 21.1% acquitted at trialDistrict of Columbia: 5.3% acquitted at trialENNMSENNSCNENNMSWNWSWWWEWNWNESEMWEMWSWMNWEMEEWEESWCSENSSNWEEMSS
Acquittal rate, lower to higher:under 7%7 to 10%10 to 13%13 to 15%15 to 17%17 to 20%20 to 24%24% and uptoo few trials

Federal trial outcomes: the rankings

These tables rank the underlying federal data. They are descriptive baselines for past defendants, not predictions. See the method note for sources and sample-size rules.

Acquittal rate at trial, by charge

ChargeAcquitted if triedTrials
Other20.5%3545
Immigration18.9%660
Firearms16.6%2460
Tax15.3%176
Sexual abuse / trafficking14.5%518
Fraud / financial13.3%1649
Drug (Title 21)11.7%3094
Child exploitation2.8%536

Trial penalty by charge (median plea vs trial conviction)

ChargePlea medianTrial medianPenalty
Other1y 3mo5 yr4.0x
Immigration6 mo1y 9mo3.5x
Drug (Title 21)5 yr15 yr3.0x
Fraud / financial1y 10mo5 yr2.7x
Firearms4 yr10 yr2.5x
Child exploitation10 yr20 yr2.0x
Sexual abuse / trafficking10 yr17y 6mo1.8x
Tax1y 6mo2y 6mo1.7x

Acquittal rate by district, all charges (mix-adjusted, 30+ trials)

DistrictAcquittal rate95% rangeTrials
Oregon33.9%23.1–46.6%59
North Carolina - Middle31.5%20.7–44.7%54
Mississippi - Southern30.4%21.3–41.2%79
Virgin Islands28.6%20–39%84
West Virginia - Northern28.1%18.6–40.1%64
Mississippi - Northern26.7%14.2–44.4%30
South Dakota25.1%20.2–30.8%255
Texas - Southern24.9%20.6–29.9%329
New York - Eastern24.3%18.5–31.2%173
Louisiana - Eastern24.3%16–35.2%74
Idaho24.2%15.5–35.8%66
Nebraska23.9%17.6–31.7%138
Maine23.4%13.6–37.2%47
California - Central23.0%18.2–28.6%248
Colorado21.4%15.2–29.2%131
Pennsylvania - Western21.3%14.2–30.6%94
North Carolina - Eastern21.3%15.8–27.9%174
Alabama - Northern21.2%14.7–29.7%113
Wisconsin - Eastern21.2%12.2–34%52
Missouri - Western21.2%13.7–31.4%80
California - Southern21.1%16.8–26%299
Michigan - Western20.9%15.3–27.9%158
Wyoming20.8%11.7–34.3%48
Michigan - Eastern19.7%14.5–26.1%178
Louisiana - Western19.5%12.2–29.7%77
Kansas19.5%12.2–29.7%77
Oklahoma - Eastern19.4%13.5–27%129
Oklahoma - Northern19.3%13.1–27.5%114
Puerto Rico19.0%12.9–27%116
Arkansas - Eastern18.7%12.4–27.1%107
Georgia - Northern18.5%12.7–26%130
Florida - Northern18.4%13.4–24.8%179
Connecticut18.3%12–26.8%104
Illinois - Southern18.3%11–28.8%71
North Dakota18.2%11.5–27.5%88
Tennessee - Western18.0%12.5–25.2%139
New York - Northern17.8%11.6–26.4%101
New Mexico17.6%10.6–27.8%74
Alabama - Southern17.5%11.2–26.3%97
Florida - Southern17.5%14.7–20.8%588
Tennessee - Middle16.7%10.4–25.7%90
Ohio - Southern16.2%9.3–26.7%68
Oklahoma - Western16.2%10.2–24.7%99
Arizona15.8%11.8–21%240
Nevada15.6%8.7–26.4%64
Hawaii15.4%8.6–26.1%65
Maryland15.3%11.1–20.8%209
South Carolina15.2%9.3–23.9%92
Washington - Eastern15.2%8.9–24.7%79
New Jersey15.1%10.1–22%139
Texas - Western14.5%11.9–17.6%585
Kentucky - Western14.3%7.7–25%63
Utah14.1%7.6–24.6%64
Virginia - Western14.0%8.2–22.8%86
Florida - Middle14.0%11.2–17.3%501
Pennsylvania - Eastern13.6%9.9–18.3%258
Minnesota13.6%9.3–19.5%176
Missouri - Eastern13.6%7.8–22.7%81
Delaware13.3%5.3–29.7%30
Massachusetts13.2%9.3–18.3%220
New York - Western13.2%7.1–23.3%68
Alabama - Middle13.0%7.8–21%100
New Hampshire12.8%5.6–26.7%39
Montana12.5%7.5–20.2%104
Kentucky - Eastern12.1%8.5–16.9%232
Texas - Northern11.7%8.3–16.2%257
Georgia - Southern11.6%6–21.2%69
Ohio - Northern11.0%7.7–15.4%255
Washington - Western11.0%6.1–19.1%91
California - Northern10.6%6.4–17%132
Alaska10.3%4.8–20.8%58
Iowa - Southern10.2%6.2–16.4%137
Indiana - Northern10.0%5.5–17.4%100
Texas - Eastern9.8%5.8–16%133
Pennsylvania - Middle9.3%5.5–15.2%140
West Virginia - Southern9.0%4.2–18.2%67
Virginia - Eastern8.2%5.8–11.5%354
Iowa - Northern8.0%4.2–14.4%113
Tennessee - Eastern7.8%4.1–14.1%116
Illinois - Northern7.7%4.9–11.9%233
Indiana - Southern7.4%3.7–14.6%94
Georgia - Middle7.3%3.4–15.1%82
New York - Southern6.2%4.3–8.8%439
District of Columbia5.3%3.4–8.4%318
North Carolina - Western4.9%2.5–9.4%162
California - Eastern3.7%1.3–10.2%82
Illinois - Central3.4%1.2–9.5%88

Federal drug cases: plea vs trial sentence, by district (20+ trial convictions)

DistrictPlea medianTrial medianPenaltyTrial convictions
New York - Eastern2 yr13y 3mo6.6x22
New York - Western4 yr22y 3mo5.6x24
Arizona1y 1mo5y 5mo5.0x36
New Jersey3y 10mo15y 8mo4.1x36
Ohio - Northern5 yr20 yr4.0x66
North Dakota4 yr15y 4mo3.8x28
New York - Southern4 yr15 yr3.8x87
Pennsylvania - Eastern5 yr18y 7mo3.7x43
Maryland5 yr18 yr3.6x53
North Carolina - Eastern7 yr25 yr3.6x41
Michigan - Eastern5 yr17y 8mo3.5x35
Indiana - Northern5y 8mo19 yr3.4x20
Connecticut3y 1mo10 yr3.2x23
Alabama - Northern6y 2mo20 yr3.2x22
Tennessee - Middle6 yr19y 3mo3.2x20
North Carolina - Western6y 6mo20y 4mo3.1x34
Massachusetts3y 4mo10 yr3.0x55
Virginia - Western6y 8mo20 yr3.0x33
Texas - Western3y 10mo11y 3mo2.9x129
Florida - Southern5y 3mo15 yr2.9x109
Arkansas - Eastern5y 3mo15 yr2.9x21
Tennessee - Eastern7y 8mo21y 10mo2.8x45
Alabama - Southern5 yr13y 10mo2.8x26
Virginia - Eastern5y 11mo16y 2mo2.7x44
Virgin Islands3y 8mo10 yr2.7x21
Nebraska7y 6mo20 yr2.7x33
California - Southern2y 6mo6y 8mo2.7x88
Tennessee - Western5y 11mo15y 4mo2.6x28
West Virginia - Northern4y 3mo11 yr2.6x25
Pennsylvania - Middle5y 10mo15 yr2.6x49
Pennsylvania - Western5 yr12y 8mo2.5x29
Indiana - Southern10 yr25 yr2.5x36
Georgia - Northern6y 6mo16y 2mo2.5x20
Texas - Northern8y 4mo20 yr2.4x83
Iowa - Southern10 yr22y 6mo2.2x53
District of Columbia5 yr11y 3mo2.2x21
Louisiana - Western7y 10mo17y 6mo2.2x23
Iowa - Northern10 yr22 yr2.2x49
Georgia - Middle6y 4mo13y 10mo2.2x27
Michigan - Western7 yr15 yr2.1x60
Puerto Rico5 yr10y 8mo2.1x30
Texas - Southern4y 9mo10y 1mo2.1x58
Kentucky - Eastern7y 6mo15y 10mo2.1x90
Minnesota7y 2mo14y 6mo2.0x29
Alabama - Middle6 yr12y 1mo2.0x31
Florida - Middle8 yr16 yr2.0x121
Illinois - Northern4y 6mo9 yr2.0x37
California - Central5 yr10 yr2.0x36
Florida - Northern5y 3mo10 yr1.9x30
Texas - Eastern9 yr15y 10mo1.8x40
South Dakota10 yr16y 7mo1.7x50

The trial penalty after accounting for acquittal odds

The wager card folds the two trial numbers into one. The expected trial outcome is the trial-conviction sentence times the chance of conviction, counting every acquittal as zero. Divided by the guilty-plea sentence, it gives an expected trial penalty: a value above 1.0 means that even crediting the acquittal chance, the average defendant who went to trial still served more time than the one who pleaded.

Across the 170 district-and-charge combinations with enough trial convictions to measure, 169 carry an expected trial penalty above 1.0. The acquittal chance is almost never high enough to make trial the lower-time choice on average. The lone exception falls in the heterogeneous residual category, which is too mixed to rank. The charges with enough districts to rank are below.

Three cautions. Expected value is risk-neutral, while a defendant is not: it weights a small chance of a very long sentence the same as a near-certain short one. The plea and trial figures come from different self-selected groups, so this compares populations rather than forecasting one person changing their plea. And districts with low guilty-plea medians, including fast-track border dockets, post high multiples partly as an artifact of the small denominator, which is why the expected trial months are shown next to the multiple.

Drug (Title 21): by district, lowest expected penalty first
DistrictPlea medianExpected trial outcomeRaw penaltyExpected penaltyAcquittalTrial convictions
South Dakota10 yr13y 8mo1.7x1.37x17.5%50
Texas - Eastern9 yr14y 6mo1.8x1.61x8.7%40
Florida - Northern5y 3mo8y 6mo1.9x1.63x14.6%30
California - Central5 yr8y 4mo2.0x1.67x16.4%36
Texas - Southern4y 9mo8y 4mo2.1x1.75x17.7%58
Florida - Middle8 yr14y 2mo2.0x1.77x11.4%121
Michigan - Western7 yr12y 8mo2.1x1.80x15.8%60
Minnesota7y 2mo12y 11mo2.0x1.81x10.7%29
Alabama - Middle6 yr10y 10mo2.0x1.81x10.2%31
Puerto Rico5 yr9y 2mo2.1x1.84x13.7%30
Illinois - Northern4y 6mo8y 5mo2.0x1.88x6.2%37
Kentucky - Eastern7y 6mo14y 3mo2.1x1.89x10.2%90
Louisiana - Western7y 10mo15y 1mo2.2x1.93x13.7%23
Georgia - Middle6y 4mo12y 9mo2.2x2.02x7.7%27
Iowa - Northern10 yr20y 4mo2.2x2.03x7.7%49
Iowa - Southern10 yr20y 5mo2.2x2.04x9.2%53
West Virginia - Northern4y 3mo8y 11mo2.6x2.09x19.1%25
Pennsylvania - Western5 yr10y 8mo2.5x2.14x15.6%29
Georgia - Northern6y 6mo13y 11mo2.5x2.14x13.8%20
District of Columbia5 yr10y 10mo2.2x2.16x3.9%21
Texas - Northern8y 4mo18y 1mo2.4x2.17x9.5%83
Virgin Islands3y 8mo8y 2mo2.7x2.20x18.5%21
Nebraska7y 6mo16y 6mo2.7x2.20x17.5%33
Tennessee - Western5y 11mo13y 4mo2.6x2.25x13.2%28
California - Southern2y 6mo5y 8mo2.7x2.25x15.5%88
Indiana - Southern10 yr23y 2mo2.5x2.31x7.5%36
Pennsylvania - Middle5y 10mo13y 9mo2.6x2.36x8.2%49
Alabama - Southern5 yr12 yr2.8x2.40x13.2%26
Arkansas - Eastern5y 3mo12y 11mo2.9x2.46x13.9%21
Florida - Southern5y 3mo13 yr2.9x2.48x13.3%109
Virginia - Eastern5y 11mo15y 1mo2.7x2.55x6.3%44
Tennessee - Eastern7y 8mo20y 1mo2.8x2.62x8.1%45
Texas - Western3y 10mo10y 1mo2.9x2.62x10.7%129
Virginia - Western6y 8mo17y 10mo3.0x2.66x10.9%33
Massachusetts3y 4mo9 yr3.0x2.69x10.2%55
Alabama - Northern6y 2mo16y 11mo3.2x2.75x15.3%22
Tennessee - Middle6 yr16y 10mo3.2x2.80x12.6%20
Connecticut3y 1mo8y 8mo3.2x2.82x12.9%23
North Carolina - Western6y 6mo19y 3mo3.1x2.96x5.3%34
Michigan - Eastern5 yr15y 1mo3.5x3.01x14.8%35
North Carolina - Eastern7 yr21y 4mo3.6x3.05x14.6%41
Indiana - Northern5y 8mo17y 3mo3.4x3.05x9.1%20
Maryland5 yr15y 11mo3.6x3.19x11.5%53
North Dakota4 yr13y 4mo3.8x3.33x13.1%28
Pennsylvania - Eastern5 yr16y 9mo3.7x3.35x9.9%43
New York - Southern4 yr14y 3mo3.8x3.56x5.2%87
New Jersey3y 10mo13y 10mo4.1x3.61x11.5%36
Ohio - Northern5 yr18y 3mo4.0x3.64x8.9%66
Arizona1y 1mo4y 10mo5.0x4.43x11.4%36
New York - Western4 yr19y 9mo5.6x4.94x11.1%24
New York - Eastern2 yr11 yr6.6x5.51x16.9%22
Firearms: by district, lowest expected penalty first
DistrictPlea medianExpected trial outcomeRaw penaltyExpected penaltyAcquittalTrial convictions
California - Central3y 8mo4y 6mo1.6x1.22x23.3%30
Oklahoma - Eastern4y 9mo5y 10mo1.5x1.23x19.2%20
District of Columbia3y 1mo4y 2mo1.4x1.35x5.6%24
Arkansas - Eastern5 yr7y 4mo1.8x1.47x19.8%33
Missouri - Western5y 1mo7y 11mo2.0x1.55x21.2%24
California - Northern2y 9mo4y 5mo1.8x1.60x12.1%21
Pennsylvania - Middle5y 5mo8y 10mo1.8x1.63x11.7%20
North Carolina - Western4y 11mo8y 2mo1.8x1.65x7.6%36
Illinois - Northern4 yr6y 7mo1.8x1.65x8.8%40
North Carolina - Eastern5y 3mo8y 9mo2.1x1.66x20.8%28
Oklahoma - Western5 yr8y 4mo2.0x1.67x16.4%29
South Carolina5 yr8y 5mo2.0x1.68x16%27
Iowa - Southern5 yr8y 8mo2.0x1.74x13%30
Puerto Rico5 yr8y 9mo2.2x1.74x19.5%31
Texas - Western3y 1mo5y 6mo2.1x1.78x15.2%60
Florida - Middle5y 3mo9y 5mo2.1x1.80x16.2%103
Michigan - Western5y 3mo9y 6mo2.3x1.82x22.5%20
Pennsylvania - Eastern4y 2mo7y 9mo2.2x1.86x14.1%41
Indiana - Northern3y 10mo7y 5mo2.2x1.93x12.9%35
Florida - Southern5 yr9y 11mo2.5x1.99x18.9%96
New York - Eastern3y 10mo7y 8mo2.6x1.99x23.9%26
Arizona1y 10mo3y 8mo2.4x2.00x16.2%20
Minnesota5y 10mo11y 10mo2.4x2.04x15.2%44
Alabama - Northern3y 10mo7y 10mo2.6x2.04x21.6%28
Colorado3y 10mo7y 11mo2.6x2.07x20.8%29
Iowa - Northern4y 3mo8y 11mo2.4x2.10x10.9%21
Connecticut3y 8mo8y 2mo2.7x2.20x18.3%20
Ohio - Northern3y 10mo8y 9mo2.6x2.28x12.7%81
Alabama - Southern3y 5mo7y 11mo2.9x2.32x18.7%29
Florida - Northern5 yr11y 11mo3.0x2.38x20.8%32
Tennessee - Eastern5 yr12y 3mo2.8x2.46x11.5%26
Alabama - Middle4y 3mo10y 6mo2.9x2.47x14.4%26
Michigan - Eastern3y 5mo8y 8mo3.2x2.54x21%36
Tennessee - Western5 yr12y 9mo3.1x2.55x18.8%49
Illinois - Central5 yr13y 5mo2.9x2.69x7.3%30
Texas - Northern4y 6mo12y 4mo3.2x2.75x13.5%32
Nebraska4y 3mo11y 9mo3.7x2.77x24.9%26
Virginia - Eastern5 yr14y 4mo3.1x2.87x9%65
Indiana - Southern4y 9mo15y 2mo3.6x3.20x10.6%28
Maryland4y 3mo14y 8mo4.1x3.45x16.3%30
New York - Southern4 yr13y 11mo3.8x3.47x7.3%62
Texas - Southern2y 11mo11y 10mo5.4x4.05x25%24
Fraud and financial: by district, lowest expected penalty first
DistrictPlea medianExpected trial outcomeRaw penaltyExpected penaltyAcquittalTrial convictions
Kentucky - Eastern2y 10mo3y 3mo1.3x1.16x11.7%32
New York - Eastern1y 2mo1y 7mo1.7x1.39x19.2%30
California - Central2y 3mo3y 3mo1.8x1.45x18.6%45
Florida - Northern2 yr3y 1mo1.8x1.53x16.6%25
Massachusetts1y 8mo2y 8mo1.8x1.63x11.6%39
Illinois - Northern1y 9mo2y 11mo1.8x1.66x7%38
Florida - Southern2y 6mo4y 3mo2.0x1.71x15.1%122
Maryland2y 4mo4y 2mo2.1x1.80x13%27
Pennsylvania - Eastern2 yr3y 10mo2.1x1.90x11.3%24
Georgia - Northern2y 6mo4y 11mo2.3x1.97x15.7%35
Texas - Northern3y 1mo6y 5mo2.3x2.07x10.9%32
Michigan - Eastern2 yr4y 2mo2.5x2.08x16.9%27
California - Northern1y 7mo3y 4mo2.3x2.09x9.7%32
Ohio - Northern2 yr4y 6mo2.5x2.25x10.2%30
Florida - Middle2y 1mo5y 1mo2.8x2.44x13%44
Virginia - Eastern2y 10mo7y 2mo2.7x2.54x7.2%42
North Carolina - Western2y 6mo6y 7mo2.8x2.63x6.1%33
Texas - Eastern2y 12mo8y 7mo3.2x2.89x9.9%22
New York - Southern1y 3mo3y 9mo3.2x3.01x5.9%140
Minnesota1y 9mo6y 4mo4.1x3.64x12.2%21
Texas - Western7 mo7y 8mo14.9x13.11x12.2%26
Texas - Southern5 mo5y 11mo17.7x14.15x20.1%32

Tax, immigration, child-exploitation, and sexual-abuse charges have too few districts meeting the 20 trial-conviction threshold to rank reliably, so they are omitted here.

Every federal district and charge: the full table

Median outcomes for each U.S. district and offense type, from the FJC Integrated Database. Acquittal is the mix-adjusted estimate; trial sentence is the district’s own median where 20+ convictions support it, national otherwise.

Drug offense (Title 21)
DistrictConcludedPleadDismissedTrialPlea medianTrial medianAcquittal if tried
Alabama - Middle57086.1%7.7%6.14%6 yr12y 1mo10.2%
Alabama - Northern110788.4%9.2%2.35%6y 2mo20 yr15.3%
Alabama - Southern95594.6%2.4%3.04%5 yr13y 10mo13.2%
Alaska58289.9%7.4%2.75%5 yr15 yr9.2%
Arizona925196.2%3.3%0.46%1y 1mo5y 5mo11.4%
Arkansas - Eastern154490.0%8.5%1.42%5y 3mo15 yr13.9%
Arkansas - Western100495.4%3.9%0.7%8 yr15 yr11.7%
California - Central307286.0%12.3%1.73%5 yr10 yr16.4%
California - Eastern163093.7%5.3%1.04%5y 3mo15 yr5.4%
California - Northern142893.4%5.6%0.98%2y 9mo15 yr8.5%
California - Southern1475387.8%11.4%0.78%2y 6mo6y 8mo15.5%
Colorado126787.9%10.0%2.05%4y 10mo15 yr14.6%
Connecticut145694.4%3.8%1.85%3y 1mo10 yr12.9%
Delaware25891.5%4.3%4.26%4y 3mo15 yr11.2%
District of Columbia75383.9%13.0%3.05%5 yr11y 3mo3.9%
Florida - Middle446495.4%1.6%3.0%8 yr16 yr11.4%
Florida - Northern100483.0%13.1%3.88%5y 3mo10 yr14.6%
Florida - Southern395094.7%2.1%3.19%5y 3mo15 yr13.3%
Georgia - Middle148288.0%10.1%1.89%6y 4mo13y 10mo7.7%
Georgia - Northern150585.2%13.3%1.46%6y 6mo16y 2mo13.8%
Georgia - Southern158088.0%11.6%0.44%5y 5mo15 yr9.3%
Guam14388.1%7.0%4.9%4y 9mo15 yr11.7%
Hawaii71985.7%12.2%2.09%5y 6mo15 yr11.3%
Idaho130495.6%3.5%1.0%5y 6mo15 yr16.8%
Illinois - Central79695.6%2.4%2.01%9 yr15 yr5.2%
Illinois - Northern144092.6%4.8%2.57%4y 6mo9 yr6.2%
Illinois - Southern98495.9%2.8%1.22%9 yr15 yr14.3%
Indiana - Northern79290.8%6.4%2.78%5y 8mo19 yr9.1%
Indiana - Southern144292.2%5.2%2.64%10 yr25 yr7.5%
Iowa - Northern117094.2%1.4%4.44%10 yr22 yr7.7%
Iowa - Southern177294.2%2.7%3.1%10 yr22y 6mo9.2%
Kansas143987.8%11.3%0.97%5 yr15 yr13.3%
Kentucky - Eastern213693.3%2.0%4.68%7y 6mo15y 10mo10.2%
Kentucky - Western151873.1%25.8%1.19%6y 4mo15 yr11.0%
Louisiana - Eastern83594.1%3.8%2.04%6y 1mo15 yr15.7%
Louisiana - Middle32585.8%11.4%2.77%5 yr15 yr11.7%
Louisiana - Western93991.2%6.3%2.56%7y 10mo17y 6mo13.7%
Maine62893.2%5.4%1.43%3y 6mo15 yr15.1%
Maryland276170.0%27.9%2.1%5 yr18 yr11.5%
Massachusetts166194.5%2.0%3.49%3y 4mo10 yr10.2%
Michigan - Eastern140892.7%4.3%2.98%5 yr17y 8mo14.8%
Michigan - Western84289.0%3.0%8.08%7 yr15 yr15.8%
Minnesota115294.0%3.5%2.52%7y 2mo14y 6mo10.7%
Mississippi - Northern45595.4%4.0%0.66%5 yr15 yr15.6%
Mississippi - Southern118284.2%14.7%1.1%8y 6mo15 yr18.5%
Missouri - Eastern220794.6%4.8%0.63%5 yr15 yr10.8%
Missouri - Western218994.5%4.9%0.55%7y 8mo15 yr14.9%
Montana133293.4%5.1%1.5%5 yr15 yr9.7%
Nebraska188094.8%3.0%2.18%7y 6mo20 yr17.5%
Nevada79491.7%7.4%0.88%5 yr15 yr11.5%
New Hampshire79291.3%8.1%0.63%3y 1mo15 yr10.7%
New Jersey266289.9%8.7%1.47%3y 10mo15y 8mo11.5%
New Mexico322795.9%3.7%0.37%2y 9mo15 yr11.9%
New York - Eastern151994.9%3.0%2.04%2 yr13y 3mo16.9%
New York - Northern98595.1%2.7%2.13%3y 10mo15 yr14.0%
New York - Southern367595.3%2.2%2.48%4 yr15 yr5.2%
New York - Western135095.9%2.3%1.85%4 yr22y 3mo11.1%
North Carolina - Eastern308788.9%9.7%1.43%7 yr25 yr14.6%
North Carolina - Middle106189.2%9.6%1.23%6 yr15 yr18.8%
North Carolina - Western148689.8%7.9%2.36%6y 6mo20y 4mo5.3%
North Dakota157094.2%3.9%1.91%4 yr15y 4mo13.1%
Northern Mariana Islands3797.3%2.7%0.0%4y 5mo15 yr11.7%
Ohio - Northern316095.7%2.1%2.15%5 yr20 yr8.9%
Ohio - Southern208295.1%4.0%0.86%4 yr15 yr12.6%
Oklahoma - Eastern37591.7%3.7%4.53%5y 11mo15 yr13.6%
Oklahoma - Northern100783.5%14.6%1.89%4y 3mo15 yr13.4%
Oklahoma - Western169188.2%10.6%1.18%5y 8mo15 yr11.5%
Oregon159792.5%7.2%0.25%3y 1mo15 yr19.0%
Pennsylvania - Eastern126193.3%2.7%4.04%5 yr18y 7mo9.9%
Pennsylvania - Middle148192.7%3.8%3.44%5y 10mo15 yr8.2%
Pennsylvania - Western219289.9%8.5%1.6%5 yr12y 8mo15.6%
Puerto Rico329092.7%6.2%1.03%5 yr10y 8mo13.7%
Rhode Island37691.2%8.0%0.8%3y 6mo15 yr11.7%
South Carolina231995.5%3.8%0.78%6 yr15 yr11.3%
South Dakota132692.6%3.3%4.07%10 yr16y 7mo17.5%
Tennessee - Eastern300694.6%3.8%1.56%7y 8mo21y 10mo8.1%
Tennessee - Middle61193.1%2.9%3.93%6 yr19y 3mo12.6%
Tennessee - Western129390.6%7.1%2.24%5y 11mo15y 4mo13.2%
Texas - Eastern362890.8%7.9%1.27%9 yr15y 10mo8.7%
Texas - Northern603895.4%3.0%1.51%8y 4mo20 yr9.5%
Texas - Southern843996.3%2.7%0.95%4y 9mo10y 1mo17.7%
Texas - Western1085895.5%3.0%1.47%3y 10mo11y 3mo10.7%
Utah220491.3%8.0%0.68%3y 10mo15 yr10.8%
Vermont86793.9%5.2%0.92%2 yr15 yr11.7%
Virgin Islands30873.4%16.9%9.74%3y 8mo10 yr18.5%
Virginia - Eastern239282.5%15.3%2.17%5y 11mo16y 2mo6.3%
Virginia - Western112894.3%2.7%3.01%6y 8mo20 yr10.9%
Washington - Eastern109290.9%7.6%1.47%5 yr15 yr11.2%
Washington - Western141979.9%19.2%0.92%4 yr15 yr9.2%
West Virginia - Northern170290.7%7.5%1.88%4y 3mo11 yr19.1%
West Virginia - Southern124486.4%12.4%1.21%4y 4mo15 yr8.5%
Wisconsin - Eastern86795.6%3.3%1.04%4y 2mo15 yr13.9%
Wisconsin - Western45896.7%2.4%0.87%6 yr15 yr11.7%
Wyoming62495.8%2.9%1.28%5y 3mo15 yr14.2%
Fraud / financial (mail, wire, bank fraud, money laundering)
DistrictConcludedPleadDismissedTrialPlea medianTrial medianAcquittal if tried
Alabama - Middle16486.6%11.0%2.44%1y 11mo5 yr11.6%
Alabama - Northern42687.1%8.9%3.99%2 yr5 yr17.3%
Alabama - Southern27393.0%3.7%3.3%1 yr5 yr14.9%
Alaska8783.9%13.8%2.3%2 yr5 yr10.5%
Arizona112893.2%5.4%1.42%4 mo5 yr12.9%
Arkansas - Eastern19889.9%10.1%0.0%1y 6mo5 yr15.8%
Arkansas - Western10885.2%8.3%6.48%2y 4mo5 yr13.3%
California - Central169490.6%6.3%3.19%2y 3mo4 yr18.6%
California - Eastern34890.2%5.2%4.6%2y 9mo5 yr6.1%
California - Northern46885.3%7.5%7.26%1y 7mo3y 8mo9.7%
California - Southern72787.8%10.0%2.2%1y 1mo5 yr17.6%
Colorado21082.9%8.6%8.57%2 yr5 yr16.6%
Connecticut33892.0%3.0%5.03%1y 9mo5 yr14.7%
Delaware5384.9%3.8%11.32%2 yr5 yr12.7%
District of Columbia25786.0%8.2%5.84%1y 9mo5 yr4.5%
Florida - Middle116892.7%2.2%5.05%2y 1mo5y 10mo13.0%
Florida - Northern25080.4%6.8%12.8%2 yr3y 8mo16.6%
Florida - Southern341292.6%3.1%4.34%2y 6mo5 yr15.1%
Georgia - Middle23186.6%11.7%1.73%2 yr5 yr8.8%
Georgia - Northern82583.8%11.5%4.73%2y 6mo5y 10mo15.7%
Georgia - Southern25582.4%14.5%3.14%2 yr5 yr10.6%
Guam4187.8%4.9%7.32%1y 9mo5 yr13.3%
Hawaii13781.0%9.5%9.49%2 yr5 yr12.8%
Idaho18589.7%1.6%8.65%2 yr5 yr19.1%
Illinois - Central20895.2%3.8%0.96%1y 6mo5 yr5.9%
Illinois - Northern67689.2%4.9%5.92%1y 9mo3y 2mo7.0%
Illinois - Southern20093.0%5.0%2.0%2 yr5 yr16.2%
Indiana - Northern25787.9%6.6%5.45%1y 6mo5 yr10.3%
Indiana - Southern30393.1%5.3%1.65%2y 6mo5 yr8.5%
Iowa - Northern13595.6%3.0%1.48%1y 8mo5 yr8.7%
Iowa - Southern14592.4%4.1%3.45%2 yr5 yr10.4%
Kansas23683.9%12.7%3.39%1y 6mo5 yr15.1%
Kentucky - Eastern32282.6%5.9%11.49%2y 10mo3y 8mo11.7%
Kentucky - Western23990.8%7.1%2.09%1y 9mo5 yr12.5%
Louisiana - Eastern28691.3%4.9%3.85%2 yr5 yr17.8%
Louisiana - Middle11791.5%4.3%4.27%2y 6mo5 yr13.3%
Louisiana - Western24388.1%9.1%2.88%2 yr5 yr15.6%
Maine13388.0%9.8%2.26%1y 1mo5 yr17.2%
Maryland64589.9%5.4%4.65%2y 4mo4y 10mo13.0%
Massachusetts62589.1%3.7%7.2%1y 8mo3 yr11.6%
Michigan - Eastern80091.2%4.2%4.5%2 yr5 yr16.9%
Michigan - Western24495.5%2.0%2.46%2y 2mo5 yr18.0%
Minnesota36088.9%4.2%6.94%1y 9mo7y 3mo12.2%
Mississippi - Northern13390.2%5.3%4.51%1y 2mo5 yr17.7%
Mississippi - Southern26383.3%14.1%2.66%2 yr5 yr21.1%
Missouri - Eastern79492.6%5.9%1.51%1y 6mo5 yr12.2%
Missouri - Western31194.2%3.9%1.93%2 yr5 yr17.0%
Montana18491.8%6.5%1.63%2y 1mo5 yr11.1%
Nebraska18588.6%10.8%0.54%1y 6mo5 yr19.9%
Nevada26990.0%9.3%0.74%2y 8mo5 yr13.1%
New Hampshire14384.6%9.8%5.59%1y 3mo5 yr12.2%
New Jersey85594.2%3.2%2.69%1y 8mo5 yr13.1%
New Mexico20491.7%6.9%1.47%5 mo5 yr13.6%
New York - Eastern88591.9%3.3%4.86%1y 2mo2 yr19.2%
New York - Northern25692.2%3.1%4.69%1y 6mo5 yr16.0%
New York - Southern196988.1%4.5%7.41%1y 3mo4 yr5.9%
New York - Western28095.4%3.6%1.07%1y 3mo5 yr12.6%
North Carolina - Eastern44692.2%5.4%2.47%2 yr5 yr16.7%
North Carolina - Middle18887.2%10.6%2.13%2 yr5 yr21.3%
North Carolina - Western43684.2%8.0%7.8%2y 6mo7 yr6.1%
North Dakota6083.3%15.0%1.67%1y 6mo5 yr14.9%
Northern Mariana Islands4080.0%12.5%7.5%0 mo5 yr13.3%
Ohio - Northern70689.0%6.5%4.53%2 yr5 yr10.2%
Ohio - Southern48693.4%4.1%2.47%1y 8mo5 yr14.3%
Oklahoma - Eastern4684.8%8.7%6.52%2 yr5 yr15.4%
Oklahoma - Northern21090.5%8.6%0.95%1y 3mo5 yr15.3%
Oklahoma - Western20187.1%7.5%5.47%2 yr5 yr13.1%
Oregon34584.9%13.3%1.74%2 yr5 yr21.6%
Pennsylvania - Eastern62490.1%4.0%5.93%2 yr4y 4mo11.3%
Pennsylvania - Middle35086.9%7.7%5.43%2 yr5 yr9.3%
Pennsylvania - Western43186.1%9.7%4.18%1y 3mo5 yr17.7%
Puerto Rico61583.6%15.3%1.14%1y 9mo5 yr15.6%
Rhode Island21091.9%6.2%1.9%2 yr5 yr13.3%
South Carolina72783.1%14.9%2.06%1y 6mo5 yr12.8%
South Dakota13887.0%8.7%4.35%2 yr5 yr20.0%
Tennessee - Eastern26786.9%8.6%4.49%2 yr5 yr9.2%
Tennessee - Middle16886.3%10.1%3.57%1y 3mo5 yr14.3%
Tennessee - Western26983.6%11.5%4.83%1y 2mo5 yr15.0%
Texas - Eastern74990.8%5.6%3.6%2y 12mo9y 6mo9.9%
Texas - Northern73086.2%8.8%5.07%3y 1mo7y 2mo10.9%
Texas - Southern195994.7%3.2%2.14%5 mo7y 4mo20.1%
Texas - Western163695.4%2.5%2.08%7 mo8y 8mo12.2%
Utah35288.1%8.2%3.69%2 yr5 yr12.3%
Vermont7892.3%5.1%2.56%1 yr5 yr13.3%
Virgin Islands4660.9%32.6%6.52%1y 10mo5 yr21.0%
Virginia - Eastern80490.4%4.1%5.47%2y 10mo7y 9mo7.2%
Virginia - Western24182.6%12.4%4.98%1y 8mo5 yr12.4%
Washington - Eastern21684.7%12.0%3.24%9 mo5 yr12.7%
Washington - Western26988.8%4.5%6.69%2 yr5 yr10.5%
West Virginia - Northern13680.1%13.2%6.62%1y 9mo5 yr21.7%
West Virginia - Southern10884.3%11.1%4.63%1y 3mo5 yr9.7%
Wisconsin - Eastern22385.2%11.2%3.59%2 yr5 yr15.8%
Wisconsin - Western7991.1%2.5%6.33%3 yr5 yr13.3%
Wyoming6374.6%11.1%14.29%1y 6mo5 yr16.1%
Firearms (18 U.S.C. 922/924)
DistrictConcludedPleadDismissedTrialPlea medianTrial medianAcquittal if tried
Alabama - Middle65291.6%3.8%4.6%4y 3mo12y 3mo14.4%
Alabama - Northern177589.8%8.2%2.03%3y 10mo10 yr21.6%
Alabama - Southern96391.3%4.6%4.15%3y 5mo9y 9mo18.7%
Alaska43888.4%7.3%4.34%3y 5mo10 yr13.0%
Arizona131490.9%7.5%1.67%1y 10mo4y 4mo16.2%
Arkansas - Eastern162887.9%9.2%2.89%5 yr9y 2mo19.8%
Arkansas - Western29893.3%5.4%1.34%5y 6mo10 yr16.6%
California - Central122990.6%6.1%3.25%3y 8mo5y 11mo23.3%
California - Eastern56695.4%3.0%1.59%3y 10mo10 yr7.6%
California - Northern83890.5%6.8%2.74%2y 9mo5 yr12.1%
California - Southern40987.3%9.3%3.42%2 yr10 yr22.0%
Colorado90291.8%4.3%3.88%3y 10mo10 yr20.8%
Connecticut47489.9%5.5%4.64%3y 8mo10 yr18.3%
Delaware13994.2%3.6%2.16%3y 10mo10 yr15.9%
District of Columbia54583.5%11.0%5.5%3y 1mo4y 5mo5.6%
Florida - Middle151489.6%2.4%7.99%5y 3mo11y 3mo16.2%
Florida - Northern45788.2%3.3%8.53%5 yr15 yr20.8%
Florida - Southern161289.5%3.3%7.26%5 yr12y 3mo18.9%
Georgia - Middle74689.5%7.5%2.95%5 yr10 yr11.0%
Georgia - Northern89783.4%14.5%2.12%5 yr10 yr19.5%
Georgia - Southern96587.3%10.7%2.07%4y 9mo10 yr13.2%
Guam2491.6%5.6%2.83%4 yr10 yr16.6%
Hawaii11989.1%7.6%3.36%3y 10mo10 yr16.0%
Idaho38692.5%4.4%3.11%2y 9mo10 yr23.9%
Illinois - Central53990.9%3.3%5.75%5 yr14y 6mo7.3%
Illinois - Northern126890.6%5.8%3.55%4 yr7y 3mo8.8%
Illinois - Southern49992.8%3.6%3.61%4y 8mo10 yr20.2%
Indiana - Northern119789.7%7.4%2.92%3y 10mo8y 6mo12.9%
Indiana - Southern128592.3%5.3%2.41%4y 9mo17 yr10.6%
Iowa - Northern100195.2%2.3%2.5%4y 3mo10 yr10.9%
Iowa - Southern101493.8%2.8%3.45%5 yr10 yr13.0%
Kansas94689.4%9.2%1.37%3y 4mo10 yr18.9%
Kentucky - Eastern49091.8%3.7%4.49%6y 11mo10 yr14.5%
Kentucky - Western70591.8%6.4%1.84%4y 3mo10 yr15.6%
Louisiana - Eastern53493.6%3.6%2.81%5y 10mo10 yr22.3%
Louisiana - Middle36286.5%13.0%0.55%4 yr10 yr16.6%
Louisiana - Western73691.8%5.8%2.31%5 yr10 yr19.5%
Maine26294.3%3.4%2.29%3 yr10 yr21.4%
Maryland110392.1%4.6%3.26%4y 3mo17y 6mo16.3%
Massachusetts36094.4%1.7%3.89%3y 4mo10 yr14.5%
Michigan - Eastern168291.5%5.7%2.79%3y 5mo11 yr21.0%
Michigan - Western58292.4%3.6%3.95%5y 3mo12y 4mo22.5%
Minnesota67089.1%3.6%7.31%5y 10mo14 yr15.2%
Mississippi - Northern36192.5%5.8%1.66%3y 1mo10 yr22.1%
Mississippi - Southern85385.5%11.6%2.93%4 yr10 yr26.3%
Missouri - Eastern439995.3%4.2%0.52%3y 9mo10 yr15.3%
Missouri - Western246794.6%4.1%1.3%5y 1mo10 yr21.2%
Montana82490.8%7.0%2.18%2y 6mo10 yr13.8%
Nebraska61991.9%3.6%4.52%4y 3mo15y 8mo24.9%
Nevada90286.7%11.3%2.0%2y 8mo10 yr16.4%
New Hampshire16389.0%8.0%3.07%3y 6mo10 yr15.2%
New Jersey95594.3%3.1%2.51%4y 1mo10 yr16.4%
New Mexico120092.2%6.8%1.0%3y 5mo10 yr16.9%
New York - Eastern73092.5%3.0%4.52%3y 10mo10 yr23.9%
New York - Northern30696.4%1.0%2.61%4y 3mo10 yr19.9%
New York - Southern132091.4%3.0%5.53%4 yr15 yr7.3%
New York - Western50093.6%3.0%3.4%4y 9mo10 yr15.8%
North Carolina - Eastern189195.0%3.0%1.96%5y 3mo11 yr20.8%
North Carolina - Middle157488.4%10.3%1.33%5 yr10 yr26.6%
North Carolina - Western135991.2%5.9%2.87%4y 11mo8y 10mo7.6%
North Dakota25091.6%4.0%4.4%4 yr10 yr18.6%
Northern Mariana Islands491.6%5.6%2.83%4 yr10 yr16.6%
Ohio - Northern178391.8%2.8%5.44%3y 10mo10 yr12.7%
Ohio - Southern107096.4%2.4%1.12%3 yr10 yr17.8%
Oklahoma - Eastern36287.6%5.5%6.91%4y 9mo7y 3mo19.2%
Oklahoma - Northern54288.7%9.0%2.21%3 yr10 yr19.1%
Oklahoma - Western85292.0%4.3%3.64%5 yr10 yr16.4%
Oregon73287.3%10.5%2.19%3y 2mo10 yr26.9%
Pennsylvania - Eastern67288.8%3.9%7.29%4y 2mo9 yr14.1%
Pennsylvania - Middle40589.4%5.4%5.19%5y 5mo10 yr11.7%
Pennsylvania - Western62989.7%8.6%1.75%3y 6mo10 yr22.1%
Puerto Rico275892.3%6.2%1.41%5 yr10y 10mo19.5%
Rhode Island9483.0%13.8%3.19%3 yr10 yr16.6%
South Carolina166093.1%4.9%1.99%5 yr10 yr16.0%
South Dakota66489.8%7.2%3.01%2y 6mo10 yr24.9%
Tennessee - Eastern167690.5%7.6%1.85%5 yr13y 10mo11.5%
Tennessee - Middle97992.5%5.1%2.35%5 yr10 yr17.9%
Tennessee - Western172287.9%8.3%3.83%5 yr15y 8mo18.8%
Texas - Eastern129195.1%3.6%1.32%4y 9mo10 yr12.4%
Texas - Northern241895.4%3.2%1.45%4y 6mo14y 4mo13.5%
Texas - Southern235995.3%3.3%1.4%2y 11mo15y 9mo25.0%
Texas - Western280993.5%4.0%2.49%3y 1mo6y 6mo15.2%
Utah155393.9%5.5%0.52%2y 6mo10 yr15.3%
Vermont21188.2%9.0%2.84%1y 3mo10 yr16.6%
Virgin Islands9858.2%30.6%11.22%2 yr10 yr26.2%
Virginia - Eastern109990.4%3.0%6.64%5 yr15y 9mo9.0%
Virginia - Western35891.9%5.3%2.79%5y 5mo10 yr15.5%
Washington - Eastern40289.1%8.7%2.24%2y 6mo10 yr15.9%
Washington - Western41993.8%3.3%2.86%3y 1mo10 yr13.1%
West Virginia - Northern45991.5%7.0%1.53%3y 1mo10 yr27.1%
West Virginia - Southern56689.0%8.5%2.47%3y 10mo10 yr12.1%
Wisconsin - Eastern78992.1%5.4%2.41%5 yr10 yr19.8%
Wisconsin - Western29491.8%6.5%1.7%4y 3mo10 yr16.6%
Wyoming31694.6%3.2%2.22%3y 5mo10 yr20.1%
Immigration (Title 8)
DistrictConcludedPleadDismissedTrialPlea medianTrial medianAcquittal if tried
Alabama - Middle11193.7%5.4%0.9%0 mo1y 9mo16.4%
Alabama - Northern23296.1%3.4%0.43%0 mo1y 9mo24.6%
Alabama - Southern157100.0%0.0%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo21.2%
Alaska297.6%2.0%0.33%6 mo1y 9mo14.9%
Arizona3484498.6%1.3%0.12%4 mo1y 1mo18.4%
Arkansas - Eastern19497.4%2.1%0.52%0 mo1y 9mo22.5%
Arkansas - Western12998.4%1.6%0.0%8 mo1y 9mo18.9%
California - Central75192.1%6.7%1.2%1y 6mo1y 9mo26.5%
California - Eastern20197.0%2.0%1.0%1y 9mo1y 9mo8.7%
California - Northern16682.5%16.3%1.2%1 yr1y 9mo13.7%
California - Southern1670390.9%8.5%0.65%4 mo2 yr25.1%
Colorado58797.1%2.4%0.51%1 yr1y 9mo23.6%
Connecticut6193.4%4.9%1.64%1y 1mo1y 9mo20.9%
Delaware18097.8%2.2%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo18.1%
District of Columbia1497.6%2.0%0.33%6 mo1y 9mo6.3%
Florida - Middle212998.9%0.8%0.28%0 mo1y 9mo18.4%
Florida - Northern21097.1%1.4%1.43%0 mo1y 9mo23.6%
Florida - Southern283498.5%0.9%0.64%0 mo1y 9mo21.5%
Georgia - Middle28398.2%1.8%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo12.5%
Georgia - Northern73497.0%2.9%0.14%4 mo1y 9mo22.2%
Georgia - Southern22595.1%4.4%0.44%0 mo1y 9mo15.0%
Guam1097.6%2.0%0.33%6 mo1y 9mo18.9%
Hawaii2697.6%2.0%0.33%6 mo1y 9mo18.2%
Idaho46295.7%2.8%1.52%0 mo1y 9mo27.2%
Illinois - Central6795.5%1.5%2.99%7 mo1y 9mo8.4%
Illinois - Northern32396.6%2.8%0.62%1y 4mo1y 9mo10.0%
Illinois - Southern9999.0%1.0%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo23.0%
Indiana - Northern6498.4%1.6%0.0%1y 3mo1y 9mo14.6%
Indiana - Southern110100.0%0.0%0.0%1 yr1y 9mo12.1%
Iowa - Northern27594.5%4.0%1.45%4 mo1y 9mo12.4%
Iowa - Southern24099.2%0.8%0.0%6 mo1y 9mo14.8%
Kansas22188.2%11.8%0.0%8 mo1y 9mo21.5%
Kentucky - Eastern27597.8%0.7%1.45%6 mo1y 9mo16.6%
Kentucky - Western15598.1%1.3%0.65%0 mo1y 9mo17.8%
Louisiana - Eastern24394.2%5.8%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo25.4%
Louisiana - Middle15097.3%2.7%0.0%1 mo1y 9mo18.9%
Louisiana - Western22793.0%5.7%1.32%0 mo1y 9mo22.2%
Maine5993.2%0.0%6.78%0 mo1y 9mo24.4%
Maryland31197.1%2.3%0.64%4 mo1y 9mo18.5%
Massachusetts34595.7%4.1%0.29%7 mo1y 9mo16.5%
Michigan - Eastern85097.5%2.1%0.35%0 mo1y 9mo24.0%
Michigan - Western33196.7%3.0%0.3%4 mo1y 9mo25.6%
Minnesota10189.1%7.9%2.97%1y 6mo1y 9mo17.3%
Mississippi - Northern3791.9%8.1%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo25.2%
Mississippi - Southern36493.1%6.3%0.55%0 mo1y 9mo29.9%
Missouri - Eastern15795.5%4.5%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo17.4%
Missouri - Western14397.2%2.8%0.0%1 yr1y 9mo24.1%
Montana8397.6%0.0%2.41%2 mo1y 9mo15.7%
Nebraska65798.0%1.1%0.91%0 mo1y 9mo28.3%
Nevada56890.7%8.8%0.53%9 mo1y 9mo18.6%
New Hampshire15090.0%8.7%1.33%0 mo1y 9mo17.3%
New Jersey30798.7%0.7%0.65%8 mo1y 9mo18.6%
New Mexico2083799.7%0.3%0.01%2 mo1y 9mo19.3%
New York - Eastern34696.0%3.8%0.29%11 mo1y 9mo27.3%
New York - Northern87797.8%0.9%1.25%0 mo1y 9mo22.7%
New York - Southern31099.0%0.3%0.65%5 mo1y 9mo8.4%
New York - Western30397.7%2.3%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo18.0%
North Carolina - Eastern48296.5%2.7%0.83%1 yr1y 9mo23.7%
North Carolina - Middle19096.3%3.7%0.0%1y 4mo1y 9mo30.3%
North Carolina - Western41493.5%6.0%0.48%0 mo1y 9mo8.6%
North Dakota28699.3%0.0%0.7%0 mo1y 9mo21.2%
Northern Mariana Islands6690.9%7.6%1.52%0 mo1y 9mo18.9%
Ohio - Northern42298.3%1.4%0.24%0 mo1y 9mo14.4%
Ohio - Southern29096.6%3.4%0.0%6 mo1y 9mo20.3%
Oklahoma - Eastern697.6%2.0%0.33%6 mo1y 9mo21.9%
Oklahoma - Northern33097.9%1.8%0.3%8 mo1y 9mo21.7%
Oklahoma - Western47098.3%1.5%0.21%10 mo1y 9mo18.7%
Oregon51986.3%13.3%0.39%0 mo1y 9mo30.6%
Pennsylvania - Eastern39498.5%1.0%0.51%1 yr1y 9mo16.1%
Pennsylvania - Middle45996.5%3.1%0.44%0 mo1y 9mo13.3%
Pennsylvania - Western9895.9%3.1%1.02%0 mo1y 9mo25.2%
Puerto Rico109495.4%4.3%0.27%0 mo1y 9mo22.2%
Rhode Island6387.3%9.5%3.17%0 mo1y 9mo18.9%
South Carolina57599.8%0.2%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo18.3%
South Dakota25196.8%2.8%0.4%0 mo1y 9mo28.4%
Tennessee - Eastern24997.6%2.0%0.4%0 mo1y 9mo13.0%
Tennessee - Middle15394.1%3.9%1.96%8 mo1y 9mo20.4%
Tennessee - Western9898.0%0.0%2.04%0 mo1y 9mo21.4%
Texas - Eastern68199.1%0.7%0.15%1y 4mo1y 9mo14.1%
Texas - Northern168098.0%1.4%0.54%1y 9mo1y 9mo15.4%
Texas - Southern4696798.3%1.5%0.26%10 mo1y 8mo28.5%
Texas - Western4736098.7%0.9%0.42%7 mo2y 3mo17.3%
Utah160098.2%1.8%0.0%5 mo1y 9mo17.4%
Vermont15592.3%6.5%1.29%0 mo1y 9mo18.9%
Virgin Islands12549.6%42.4%8.0%6 mo1y 9mo29.9%
Virginia - Eastern69296.2%2.3%1.45%2 mo1y 9mo10.2%
Virginia - Western16382.2%17.8%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo17.7%
Washington - Eastern48780.9%17.9%1.23%3 mo1y 9mo18.1%
Washington - Western28794.8%5.2%0.0%4 mo1y 9mo14.9%
West Virginia - Northern6985.5%14.5%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo30.9%
West Virginia - Southern7097.1%2.9%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo13.8%
Wisconsin - Eastern7497.3%2.7%0.0%0 mo1y 9mo22.5%
Wisconsin - Western110100.0%0.0%0.0%6 mo1y 9mo18.9%
Wyoming23898.7%0.8%0.42%0 mo1y 9mo22.9%
Tax (Title 26)
DistrictConcludedPleadDismissedTrialPlea medianTrial medianAcquittal if tried
Alabama - Middle2692.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo13.3%
Alabama - Northern3797.3%0.0%2.7%2 yr2y 6mo20.0%
Alabama - Southern2492.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo17.2%
Alaska1092.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo12.0%
Arizona9389.2%5.4%5.38%1y 1mo2y 6mo14.9%
Arkansas - Eastern3090.0%10.0%0.0%1y 6mo2y 6mo18.2%
Arkansas - Western34100.0%0.0%0.0%2y 3mo2y 6mo15.3%
California - Central15695.5%3.2%1.28%1 yr2y 6mo21.4%
California - Eastern6692.4%6.1%1.52%1y 6mo2y 6mo7.0%
California - Northern6690.9%4.5%4.55%1 yr2y 6mo11.1%
California - Southern5194.1%3.9%1.96%1y 6mo2y 6mo20.3%
Colorado5691.1%3.6%5.36%1y 3mo2y 6mo19.1%
Connecticut10599.0%0.0%0.95%1 yr2y 6mo16.9%
Delaware2492.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo14.6%
District of Columbia1492.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo5.1%
Florida - Middle11489.5%1.8%8.77%2 yr2y 6mo14.9%
Florida - Northern2592.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo19.1%
Florida - Southern8389.2%4.8%6.02%1y 8mo2y 6mo17.4%
Georgia - Middle2192.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo10.1%
Georgia - Northern4395.3%2.3%2.33%1y 2mo2y 6mo18.0%
Georgia - Southern1792.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo12.2%
Guam892.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo15.3%
Hawaii992.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo14.7%
Idaho2692.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo22.0%
Illinois - Central2592.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo6.8%
Illinois - Northern10294.1%2.9%2.94%5 mo2y 6mo8.1%
Illinois - Southern1492.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo18.6%
Indiana - Northern5190.2%7.8%1.96%1y 3mo2y 6mo11.9%
Indiana - Southern4195.1%2.4%2.44%1y 9mo2y 6mo9.8%
Iowa - Northern2892.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo10.0%
Iowa - Southern2492.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo12.0%
Kansas4586.7%8.9%4.44%1y 5mo2y 6mo17.4%
Kentucky - Eastern3287.5%6.2%6.25%1y 6mo2y 6mo13.4%
Kentucky - Western3691.7%5.6%2.78%1y 4mo2y 6mo14.4%
Louisiana - Eastern3691.7%2.8%5.56%1y 1mo2y 6mo20.5%
Louisiana - Middle1092.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo15.3%
Louisiana - Western44100.0%0.0%0.0%2 yr2y 6mo18.0%
Maine1892.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo19.8%
Maryland3688.9%2.8%8.33%10 mo2y 6mo15.0%
Massachusetts11393.8%0.9%5.31%1 yr2y 6mo13.3%
Michigan - Eastern10288.2%4.9%6.86%1 yr2y 6mo19.4%
Michigan - Western2792.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo20.7%
Minnesota7793.5%1.3%5.19%1y 3mo2y 6mo14.0%
Mississippi - Northern1292.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo20.4%
Mississippi - Southern4290.5%4.8%4.76%2 yr2y 6mo24.2%
Missouri - Eastern5594.5%0.0%5.45%2 yr2y 6mo14.1%
Missouri - Western6997.1%2.9%0.0%1y 8mo2y 6mo19.5%
Montana4687.0%13.0%0.0%2 yr2y 6mo12.7%
Nebraska3892.1%2.6%5.26%1 yr2y 6mo22.9%
Nevada4584.4%4.4%11.11%2 yr2y 6mo15.1%
New Hampshire1792.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo14.0%
New Jersey14696.6%0.7%2.74%1 yr2y 6mo15.1%
New Mexico3892.1%7.9%0.0%1y 6mo2y 6mo15.6%
New York - Eastern12998.4%0.0%1.55%6 mo2y 6mo22.1%
New York - Northern4588.9%2.2%8.89%1y 6mo2y 6mo18.4%
New York - Southern9394.6%3.2%2.15%1 yr2y 6mo6.8%
New York - Western42100.0%0.0%0.0%6 mo2y 6mo14.6%
North Carolina - Eastern5196.1%2.0%1.96%2y 9mo2y 6mo19.2%
North Carolina - Middle4390.7%4.7%4.65%1y 3mo2y 6mo24.6%
North Carolina - Western5088.0%2.0%10.0%1y 1mo2y 6mo7.0%
North Dakota1492.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo17.2%
Northern Mariana Islands192.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo15.3%
Ohio - Northern8188.9%1.2%9.88%1y 4mo2y 6mo11.7%
Ohio - Southern6398.4%1.6%0.0%6 mo2y 6mo16.4%
Oklahoma - Eastern1692.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo17.7%
Oklahoma - Northern4676.1%21.7%2.17%2 yr2y 6mo17.6%
Oklahoma - Western2892.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo15.1%
Oregon4395.3%4.7%0.0%1 yr2y 6mo24.8%
Pennsylvania - Eastern12590.4%4.8%4.8%1y 6mo2y 6mo13.0%
Pennsylvania - Middle8595.3%2.4%2.35%1 yr2y 6mo10.7%
Pennsylvania - Western7889.7%7.7%2.56%1y 6mo2y 6mo20.4%
Puerto Rico192.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo18.0%
Rhode Island1992.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo15.3%
South Carolina48100.0%0.0%0.0%1y 6mo2y 6mo14.8%
South Dakota6690.9%4.5%4.55%1y 10mo2y 6mo23.0%
Tennessee - Eastern2492.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo10.6%
Tennessee - Middle2992.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo16.5%
Tennessee - Western2792.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo17.3%
Texas - Eastern3694.4%2.8%2.78%2y 6mo2y 6mo11.4%
Texas - Northern13991.4%3.6%5.04%3 yr2y 6mo12.5%
Texas - Southern9697.9%0.0%2.08%1y 10mo2y 6mo23.1%
Texas - Western11287.5%6.2%6.25%1y 9mo2y 6mo14.0%
Utah4481.8%11.4%6.82%1 yr2y 6mo14.1%
Vermont692.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo15.3%
Virginia - Eastern6897.1%0.0%2.94%1y 3mo2y 6mo8.3%
Virginia - Western2892.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo14.3%
Washington - Eastern2192.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo14.6%
Washington - Western4687.0%6.5%6.52%8 mo2y 6mo12.1%
West Virginia - Northern3691.7%5.6%2.78%1y 6mo2y 6mo25.0%
West Virginia - Southern2592.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo11.2%
Wisconsin - Eastern3096.7%3.3%0.0%1y 6mo2y 6mo18.2%
Wisconsin - Western2892.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo15.3%
Wyoming2292.2%3.9%3.92%1y 6mo2y 6mo18.5%
Child exploitation / pornography (18 U.S.C. 2251-2252)
DistrictConcludedPleadDismissedTrialPlea medianTrial medianAcquittal if tried
Alabama - Middle4695.7%4.3%0.0%15 yr20 yr2.4%
Alabama - Northern12592.8%3.2%4.0%15 yr20 yr3.7%
Alabama - Southern4593.3%2.2%4.44%17y 6mo20 yr3.1%
Alaska10293.1%3.9%2.94%10 yr20 yr2.2%
Arizona24190.5%4.1%5.39%7y 7mo20 yr2.7%
Arkansas - Eastern14588.3%4.8%6.9%10 yr20 yr3.3%
Arkansas - Western15194.7%4.0%1.32%8y 1mo20 yr2.8%
California - Central26794.0%3.4%2.62%6y 10mo20 yr3.9%
California - Eastern14992.6%3.4%4.03%15 yr20 yr1.3%
California - Northern18293.4%3.8%2.75%5y 11mo20 yr2.0%
California - Southern23292.7%4.3%3.02%5y 3mo20 yr3.7%
Colorado7298.6%1.4%0.0%10 yr20 yr3.5%
Connecticut89100.0%0.0%0.0%10 yr20 yr3.1%
Delaware3588.6%8.6%2.86%10 yr20 yr2.7%
District of Columbia12297.5%1.6%0.82%7y 3mo20 yr0.9%
Florida - Middle64591.5%1.1%7.44%11y 10mo28y 6mo2.7%
Florida - Northern18789.3%1.6%9.09%10y 1mo20 yr3.5%
Florida - Southern48595.5%1.4%3.09%9y 1mo20 yr3.2%
Georgia - Middle10889.8%2.8%7.41%9 yr20 yr1.9%
Georgia - Northern23381.5%15.0%3.43%7y 3mo20 yr3.3%
Georgia - Southern12489.5%7.3%3.23%10 yr20 yr2.2%
Guam1093.7%3.3%2.96%10 yr20 yr2.8%
Hawaii4493.2%4.5%2.27%10 yr20 yr2.7%
Idaho21195.3%2.4%2.37%10 yr20 yr4.0%
Illinois - Central26495.1%1.9%3.03%10 yr20 yr1.2%
Illinois - Northern12092.5%3.3%4.17%12 yr20 yr1.5%
Illinois - Southern14890.5%3.4%6.08%10 yr20 yr3.4%
Indiana - Northern15986.8%6.9%6.29%12y 6mo20 yr2.2%
Indiana - Southern33196.4%2.7%0.91%15 yr20 yr1.8%
Iowa - Northern13892.8%4.3%2.9%11y 3mo20 yr1.8%
Iowa - Southern33693.8%3.0%3.27%12 yr20 yr2.2%
Kansas19594.4%3.6%2.05%10y 10mo20 yr3.2%
Kentucky - Eastern21191.9%2.4%5.69%20 yr20 yr2.5%
Kentucky - Western14795.2%2.7%2.04%10 yr20 yr2.6%
Louisiana - Eastern58100.0%0.0%0.0%6y 9mo20 yr3.8%
Louisiana - Middle4791.5%6.4%2.13%10y 8mo20 yr2.8%
Louisiana - Western15292.1%6.6%1.32%12y 7mo20 yr3.3%
Maine12792.1%3.9%3.94%10 yr20 yr3.6%
Maryland23794.5%3.0%2.53%15 yr20 yr2.7%
Massachusetts17893.3%2.8%3.93%9y 6mo20 yr2.4%
Michigan - Eastern39397.5%0.8%1.78%15 yr20 yr3.6%
Michigan - Western16393.9%1.2%4.91%17 yr20 yr3.8%
Minnesota22493.8%0.9%5.36%15 yr20 yr2.6%
Mississippi - Northern7894.9%2.6%2.56%9y 7mo20 yr3.7%
Mississippi - Southern7787.0%13.0%0.0%11y 4mo20 yr4.4%
Missouri - Eastern50195.8%3.2%1.0%7 yr20 yr2.6%
Missouri - Western54396.1%2.6%1.29%10 yr20 yr3.6%
Montana10292.2%4.9%2.94%9 yr20 yr2.3%
Nebraska32192.2%4.7%3.12%8y 1mo20 yr4.2%
Nevada15194.0%2.0%3.97%8 yr20 yr2.8%
New Hampshire10192.1%4.0%3.96%6y 9mo20 yr2.6%
New Jersey16596.4%1.2%2.42%8 yr20 yr2.8%
New Mexico10196.0%2.0%1.98%11y 10mo20 yr2.9%
New York - Eastern16797.6%0.6%1.8%7 yr20 yr4.0%
New York - Northern30992.6%1.9%5.5%12y 7mo20 yr3.4%
New York - Southern16098.8%0.6%0.62%6y 6mo20 yr1.2%
New York - Western32797.2%1.2%1.53%10 yr20 yr2.7%
North Carolina - Eastern17394.8%2.3%2.89%11y 8mo20 yr3.5%
North Carolina - Middle16994.7%5.3%0.0%8y 6mo20 yr4.5%
North Carolina - Western27386.1%9.5%4.4%11 yr20 yr1.3%
North Dakota13097.7%0.8%1.54%10 yr20 yr3.1%
Northern Mariana Islands493.7%3.3%2.96%10 yr20 yr2.8%
Ohio - Northern34596.5%1.2%2.32%10y 1mo20 yr2.1%
Ohio - Southern28496.5%1.4%2.11%10 yr20 yr3.0%
Oklahoma - Eastern6090.0%1.7%8.33%10 yr20 yr3.2%
Oklahoma - Northern15793.0%4.5%2.55%8y 10mo20 yr3.2%
Oklahoma - Western13596.3%3.7%0.0%6y 6mo20 yr2.8%
Oregon20495.1%4.4%0.49%7 yr20 yr4.5%
Pennsylvania - Eastern26397.3%1.1%1.52%15 yr20 yr2.4%
Pennsylvania - Middle18993.7%3.2%3.17%15 yr20 yr2.0%
Pennsylvania - Western25292.5%6.3%1.19%7y 4mo20 yr3.7%
Puerto Rico25392.1%6.7%1.19%7 yr20 yr3.3%
Rhode Island9093.3%5.6%1.11%7y 3mo20 yr2.8%
South Carolina17494.8%4.6%0.57%10 yr20 yr2.7%
South Dakota25889.9%4.7%5.43%8 yr20 yr4.2%
Tennessee - Eastern21390.6%3.8%5.63%12y 7mo20 yr1.9%
Tennessee - Middle7788.3%3.9%7.79%15 yr20 yr3.0%
Tennessee - Western7090.0%4.3%5.71%15 yr20 yr3.2%
Texas - Eastern18395.1%1.1%3.83%12y 3mo20 yr2.1%
Texas - Northern54195.9%2.4%1.66%15y 8mo20 yr2.3%
Texas - Southern56897.5%1.6%0.88%10 yr20 yr4.2%
Texas - Western50794.9%1.8%3.35%10y 1mo20 yr2.6%
Utah27495.6%4.0%0.36%8 yr20 yr2.6%
Vermont6573.8%23.1%3.08%5y 6mo20 yr2.8%
Virgin Islands693.7%3.3%2.96%10 yr20 yr4.4%
Virginia - Eastern42493.4%2.1%4.48%8 yr20 yr1.5%
Virginia - Western6496.9%3.1%0.0%10 yr20 yr2.6%
Washington - Eastern19290.6%6.8%2.6%10 yr20 yr2.7%
Washington - Western21492.1%5.1%2.8%7y 6mo20 yr2.2%
West Virginia - Northern7992.4%6.3%1.27%8y 1mo20 yr4.6%
West Virginia - Southern10683.0%13.2%3.77%8y 8mo20 yr2.0%
Wisconsin - Eastern12797.6%2.4%0.0%9y 8mo20 yr3.3%
Wisconsin - Western9493.6%4.3%2.13%12 yr20 yr2.8%
Wyoming12297.5%0.0%2.46%10 yr20 yr3.4%
Sexual abuse, trafficking, enticement (18 U.S.C. 2241-2245, 1591, 2421-2423)
DistrictConcludedPleadDismissedTrialPlea medianTrial medianAcquittal if tried
Alabama - Middle1582.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo12.6%
Alabama - Northern1582.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo18.9%
Alabama - Southern982.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo16.3%
Alaska1482.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo11.4%
Arizona37284.7%11.0%4.3%5y 5mo17y 6mo14.1%
Arkansas - Eastern3174.2%6.5%19.35%10 yr17y 6mo17.3%
Arkansas - Western4388.4%7.0%4.65%12y 7mo17y 6mo14.5%
California - Central4197.6%2.4%0.0%10 yr17y 6mo20.3%
California - Eastern3482.4%5.9%11.76%10 yr17y 6mo6.7%
California - Northern3086.7%0.0%13.33%10 yr17y 6mo10.5%
California - Southern7081.4%14.3%4.29%9 yr17y 6mo19.2%
Colorado2982.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo18.1%
Connecticut2182.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo16.0%
Delaware782.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo13.9%
District of Columbia3994.9%2.6%2.56%9 yr17y 6mo4.9%
Florida - Middle14483.3%5.6%11.11%11y 3mo17y 6mo14.2%
Florida - Northern5470.4%5.6%24.07%10 yr17y 6mo18.1%
Florida - Southern8179.0%1.2%19.75%10 yr17y 6mo16.5%
Georgia - Middle7493.2%5.4%1.35%3y 10mo17y 6mo9.6%
Georgia - Northern3764.9%32.4%2.7%10 yr17y 6mo17.1%
Georgia - Southern4665.2%30.4%4.35%10 yr17y 6mo11.5%
Guam582.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo14.5%
Hawaii1782.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo14.0%
Idaho5485.2%11.1%3.7%5 yr17y 6mo20.9%
Illinois - Central5778.9%1.8%19.3%10 yr17y 6mo6.4%
Illinois - Northern2282.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo7.7%
Illinois - Southern8375.9%2.4%21.69%10 yr17y 6mo17.7%
Indiana - Northern1682.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo11.2%
Indiana - Southern2182.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo9.3%
Iowa - Northern1682.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo9.5%
Iowa - Southern5485.2%3.7%11.11%12y 7mo17y 6mo11.4%
Kansas3580.0%17.1%2.86%10 yr17y 6mo16.5%
Kentucky - Eastern3582.9%5.7%11.43%10 yr17y 6mo12.7%
Kentucky - Western4295.2%4.8%0.0%10 yr17y 6mo13.7%
Louisiana - Eastern1482.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo19.5%
Louisiana - Middle682.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo14.5%
Louisiana - Western1782.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo17.0%
Maine1382.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo18.7%
Maryland4292.9%2.4%4.76%10 yr17y 6mo14.2%
Massachusetts4470.5%6.8%22.73%11y 4mo17y 6mo12.6%
Michigan - Eastern5692.9%1.8%5.36%10y 11mo17y 6mo18.4%
Michigan - Western3369.7%6.1%24.24%10 yr17y 6mo19.6%
Minnesota5974.6%3.4%22.03%6y 2mo17y 6mo13.3%
Mississippi - Northern1982.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo19.3%
Mississippi - Southern3174.2%19.4%6.45%10 yr17y 6mo23.0%
Missouri - Eastern6687.9%7.6%4.55%9 yr17y 6mo13.3%
Missouri - Western5793.0%1.8%5.26%10 yr17y 6mo18.5%
Montana13171.8%9.9%18.32%4y 7mo17y 6mo12.1%
Nebraska9773.2%7.2%19.59%6y 5mo17y 6mo21.7%
Nevada2882.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo14.3%
New Hampshire1282.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo13.3%
New Jersey2982.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo14.3%
New Mexico20290.1%6.9%2.97%10 yr17y 6mo14.8%
New York - Eastern2582.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo20.9%
New York - Northern5196.1%0.0%3.92%10y 1mo17y 6mo17.4%
New York - Southern9175.8%5.5%18.68%10 yr17y 6mo6.4%
New York - Western4090.0%0.0%10.0%10 yr17y 6mo13.8%
North Carolina - Eastern2882.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo18.2%
North Carolina - Middle1182.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo23.3%
North Carolina - Western5572.7%20.0%7.27%10 yr17y 6mo6.6%
North Dakota14883.8%7.4%8.78%4y 8mo17y 6mo16.3%
Ohio - Northern4591.1%4.4%4.44%10y 9mo17y 6mo11.1%
Ohio - Southern4497.7%0.0%2.27%10 yr17y 6mo15.6%
Oklahoma - Eastern14259.9%16.9%23.24%10 yr32y 6mo16.8%
Oklahoma - Northern17270.3%12.2%17.44%10 yr30 yr16.7%
Oklahoma - Western2782.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo14.3%
Oregon7383.6%15.1%1.37%7y 4mo17y 6mo23.5%
Pennsylvania - Eastern5777.2%1.8%21.05%11y 3mo17y 6mo12.3%
Pennsylvania - Middle4486.4%6.8%6.82%10 yr17y 6mo10.2%
Pennsylvania - Western3360.6%36.4%3.03%10 yr17y 6mo19.3%
Puerto Rico7972.2%24.1%3.8%10 yr17y 6mo17.0%
Rhode Island3190.3%6.5%3.23%10 yr17y 6mo14.5%
South Carolina3897.4%0.0%2.63%11y 3mo17y 6mo14.0%
South Dakota34178.6%8.5%12.9%5 yr22 yr21.8%
Tennessee - Eastern3183.9%9.7%6.45%10 yr17y 6mo10.0%
Tennessee - Middle1082.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo15.6%
Tennessee - Western1882.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo16.4%
Texas - Eastern3293.8%0.0%6.25%11y 3mo17y 6mo10.8%
Texas - Northern12290.2%0.8%9.02%10 yr17y 6mo11.8%
Texas - Southern14486.1%7.6%6.25%10 yr17y 6mo21.9%
Texas - Western11384.1%6.2%9.73%10 yr17y 6mo13.3%
Utah10094.0%5.0%1.0%5 yr17y 6mo13.4%
Vermont682.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo14.5%
Virgin Islands982.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo22.9%
Virginia - Eastern6880.9%4.4%14.71%10 yr17y 6mo7.9%
Virginia - Western882.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo13.6%
Washington - Eastern4085.0%7.5%7.5%6y 4mo17y 6mo13.9%
Washington - Western8384.3%4.8%10.84%7y 3mo17y 6mo11.5%
West Virginia - Northern1782.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo23.7%
West Virginia - Southern5875.9%5.2%18.97%10 yr17y 6mo10.6%
Wisconsin - Eastern3992.3%2.6%5.13%10 yr17y 6mo17.3%
Wisconsin - Western2082.1%7.9%10.03%10 yr17y 6mo14.5%
Wyoming5494.4%0.0%5.56%5y 10mo17y 6mo17.6%
Other federal offense

Federal crimes outside the named types, such as robbery and carjacking, assault on federal land or against a federal officer, theft of government property, racketeering (RICO), kidnapping, escape, and failure to register as a sex offender.

DistrictConcludedPleadDismissedTrialPlea medianTrial medianAcquittal if tried
Alabama - Middle40378.4%15.1%6.45%1y 6mo5 yr17.8%
Alabama - Northern91276.8%20.4%2.85%1y 6mo5 yr26.7%
Alabama - Southern33087.3%8.5%4.24%1y 9mo5 yr23.0%
Alaska36683.9%11.5%4.64%1y 3mo5 yr16.1%
Arizona355190.3%7.4%2.31%1y 6mo6y 4mo19.9%
Arkansas - Eastern106984.7%13.4%1.96%4 mo5 yr24.4%
Arkansas - Western29490.5%8.2%1.36%1 yr5 yr20.5%
California - Central230680.6%15.8%3.6%1 yr3y 4mo28.7%
California - Eastern62685.8%9.9%4.31%1y 12mo12y 10mo9.4%
California - Northern95584.1%11.0%4.92%1 yr7 yr14.9%
California - Southern349892.2%6.8%1.0%0 mo2y 9mo27.2%
Colorado77187.7%7.0%5.32%2y 3mo12y 6mo25.6%
Connecticut42886.9%4.9%8.18%2 yr12y 6mo22.6%
Delaware11388.5%4.4%7.08%1y 6mo5 yr19.6%
District of Columbia184271.5%15.0%13.46%1y 3mo2y 10mo6.9%
Florida - Middle178090.9%3.1%6.01%1y 6mo2y 10mo20.0%
Florida - Northern94259.2%37.4%3.4%9 mo2y 3mo25.6%
Florida - Southern322392.3%3.2%4.44%1y 1mo5 yr23.3%
Georgia - Middle93778.4%19.7%1.81%1y 6mo5 yr13.6%
Georgia - Northern99386.3%9.8%3.93%1y 9mo3 yr24.1%
Georgia - Southern137870.0%28.0%1.96%6 mo4 yr16.3%
Guam11191.9%6.3%1.8%6 mo5 yr20.5%
Hawaii35881.6%10.3%8.1%1y 6mo5 yr19.8%
Idaho43392.6%5.1%2.31%1y 3mo5 yr29.5%
Illinois - Central44482.4%13.7%3.83%1y 3mo5 yr9.1%
Illinois - Northern128387.5%5.1%7.4%2y 3mo5 yr10.8%
Illinois - Southern31494.6%2.5%2.87%2 yr5 yr25.0%
Indiana - Northern34785.3%9.5%5.19%2 yr5 yr15.9%
Indiana - Southern50391.8%5.0%3.18%2y 3mo5 yr13.1%
Iowa - Northern52792.6%3.6%3.8%10 mo5 yr13.4%
Iowa - Southern43691.3%3.0%5.73%2 yr5 yr16.1%
Kansas134671.6%25.8%2.6%1y 1mo4 yr23.3%
Kentucky - Eastern59285.5%5.9%8.61%1y 6mo7 yr18.0%
Kentucky - Western137347.3%51.1%1.6%1 mo5 yr19.3%
Louisiana - Eastern72687.7%8.4%3.86%1y 3mo5 yr27.5%
Louisiana - Middle22589.8%6.7%3.56%1 yr5 yr20.5%
Louisiana - Western61981.9%14.4%3.72%1y 6mo5 yr24.1%
Maine29386.3%7.2%6.48%1y 1mo5 yr26.5%
Maryland512934.1%64.5%1.4%3y 5mo8 yr20.1%
Massachusetts95688.2%3.6%8.26%1y 6mo2y 9mo17.9%
Michigan - Eastern122692.2%5.1%2.69%1y 9mo14 yr26.0%
Michigan - Western71086.2%7.7%6.06%1y 6mo5 yr27.7%
Minnesota55488.6%4.0%7.4%2y 9mo3y 2mo18.8%
Mississippi - Northern37689.6%7.4%2.93%1y 8mo5 yr27.3%
Mississippi - Southern82782.8%13.8%3.39%1y 6mo5 yr32.5%
Missouri - Eastern122887.4%10.9%1.71%2 yr5 yr18.9%
Missouri - Western77290.0%7.4%2.59%2y 6mo5 yr26.2%
Montana67187.0%7.9%5.07%2 yr2y 6mo17.1%
Nebraska82788.4%7.9%3.75%1y 6mo8 yr30.7%
Nevada58684.3%11.9%3.75%2 yr5y 2mo20.2%
New Hampshire24190.0%4.6%5.39%1y 6mo5 yr18.8%
New Jersey147772.4%24.8%2.78%2 yr5 yr20.2%
New Mexico167491.5%6.3%2.15%2 yr20 yr20.9%
New York - Eastern123391.4%3.9%4.7%1y 6mo9 yr29.6%
New York - Northern101391.4%6.0%2.57%0 mo5 yr24.6%
New York - Southern184390.1%4.1%5.81%1y 3mo3y 10mo9.1%
New York - Western55594.8%2.7%2.52%1 yr5 yr19.5%
North Carolina - Eastern370778.0%20.1%1.94%1y 9mo20 yr25.7%
North Carolina - Middle44386.0%10.8%3.16%5 yr5 yr32.9%
North Carolina - Western66182.9%12.4%4.69%2y 3mo3y 10mo9.3%
North Dakota66691.1%4.5%4.35%1y 6mo7 yr23.0%
Northern Mariana Islands3767.6%13.5%18.92%1y 3mo5 yr20.5%
Ohio - Northern99192.9%3.1%3.94%2 yr13 yr15.7%
Ohio - Southern89789.3%8.6%2.12%1y 6mo5 yr22.0%
Oklahoma - Eastern59678.9%13.4%7.72%3y 11mo15y 8mo23.8%
Oklahoma - Northern102684.4%11.2%4.39%2y 6mo15 yr23.6%
Oklahoma - Western133574.7%22.9%2.4%1y 7mo5 yr20.2%
Oregon103278.3%18.9%2.81%1 yr5 yr33.2%
Pennsylvania - Eastern126687.7%4.7%7.66%3y 1mo7 yr17.4%
Pennsylvania - Middle80191.5%4.0%4.49%1y 6mo4y 7mo14.4%
Pennsylvania - Western81377.4%19.8%2.83%1y 3mo5 yr27.3%
Puerto Rico122487.3%10.5%2.21%3y 10mo5 yr24.1%
Rhode Island16691.0%7.8%1.2%6 mo5 yr20.5%
South Carolina109081.7%16.1%2.2%1 yr3y 4mo19.8%
South Dakota206685.7%8.9%5.47%1y 5mo4y 10mo30.8%
Tennessee - Eastern56791.5%6.5%1.94%1y 6mo5 yr14.1%
Tennessee - Middle36785.3%8.7%5.99%2y 6mo5 yr22.1%
Tennessee - Western61285.9%10.5%3.59%2 yr5 yr23.2%
Texas - Eastern102092.7%4.1%3.14%2 yr6y 6mo15.3%
Texas - Northern187892.7%4.3%3.09%2y 3mo7y 6mo16.7%
Texas - Southern321293.8%5.1%1.15%1y 2mo5 yr30.9%
Texas - Western572892.6%5.8%1.54%0 mo1y 4mo18.7%
Utah83979.5%17.8%2.74%1y 6mo5 yr18.9%
Vermont13088.5%7.7%3.85%1 yr5 yr20.5%
Virgin Islands16161.5%21.7%16.77%1y 6mo5 yr32.4%
Virginia - Eastern460064.9%31.9%3.13%1 yr11y 3mo11.1%
Virginia - Western39788.9%4.5%6.55%2 yr3y 5mo19.2%
Washington - Eastern56382.8%11.4%5.86%1y 9mo5y 2mo19.6%
Washington - Western311367.4%31.6%0.96%0 mo1y 9mo16.2%
West Virginia - Northern46689.3%7.9%2.79%1y 3mo5 yr33.5%
West Virginia - Southern32386.1%8.7%5.26%1 yr5 yr14.9%
Wisconsin - Eastern52791.3%6.1%2.66%2y 4mo5 yr24.4%
Wisconsin - Western21091.0%5.7%3.33%1y 6mo5 yr20.5%
Wyoming33692.6%3.0%4.46%2 yr5 yr24.8%

Frequently asked questions

What percentage of federal criminal cases go to trial?

Very few. Across the charge types here, only about 2.0% of concluded federal cases reach a trial verdict. Roughly 92% end in a guilty plea and most of the rest are dismissed. Trial is rarest for immigration (under 1%) and most common for sexual abuse and trafficking (about 10%).

How often are federal defendants acquitted at trial?

About 15.5% of federal defendants who go to trial are acquitted on all counts. Because so few go to trial at all, complete acquittal is well under 1% of everyone charged. The rate depends heavily on the charge, from under 3% for child pornography to roughly 19 to 21% for immigration and the residual category, and on the district, which ranges from about 5% to 25%.

What happens if you go to trial and lose in a federal case?

Defendants convicted at trial receive markedly longer sentences than those who plead to the same kind of charge, a median of about three times longer for drug cases and roughly two to three times across most charges. Several things drive that gap. You forfeit the two- to three-level reduction for acceptance of responsibility. If you testify in your own defense and are convicted, the court can add a two-level obstruction-of-justice enhancement on a finding that you testified falsely. And you lose the concessions a plea would have secured. The biggest of these is charge dismissal: in a plea, a prosecutor often drops counts or reduces a charge, which can keep you under a mandatory minimum or off stacked counts, while a trial exposes you to conviction on every count charged. Life sentences are also far more common after trial, about 5% of trial convictions versus a small fraction of a percent of pleas.

Do federal prosecutors want to go to trial?

Federal cases overwhelmingly end in guilty pleas, about 92%. Prosecutors bring charges selectively and win the large majority of trials, which is part of why the trial rate is so low. That same selection means the defendants who do go to trial are a mix of the hardest cases and the genuinely contestable ones.

Is it better to take a plea or go to trial in a federal case?

There is no general answer. It turns entirely on the evidence, the specific charges, criminal history, and any cooperation options in your case. This tool shows what happened to similar past defendants as a group, which can inform the conversation, but it is not a prediction and not legal advice. Only a lawyer reviewing your facts can advise you.

Does the federal district where I am charged change the odds?

Yes. Among defendants who go to trial, acquittal runs from about 5% in the toughest districts to 25% in the most acquittal-prone, and median trial sentences for the same charge vary widely. Federal drug trial convictions, for example, range from roughly 10 to 20 years depending on the district. The calculator adjusts for your district wherever the sample supports it.

Sources and method

Comments are welcomed here and I will respond to you -- but please, no requests for personal legal advice here and nothing that's promoting your business or product. Comments are moderated and these will not be published.


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